The End of the "Summer of Diplomacy": Assessing U.S. Military Options on Iran WesPAC
Folks, I know this is scary and depressing, but like a big bill coming up, it is something that can be made less intimidating by dealing with it wisely (diplomacy) now, rather than dealing with it in a mad rush at some future deadline (military action.) This is an issue in which procrastination, and uncooperativeness could make the phrase "deadline" frighteningly apropos.
US intelligence about the extent and location of Iran's nuclear facilities has serious gaps, according to a report by the House Intelligence committee cited by Gardiner. Analysts are widely divided about how many years away Iran is from being able to produce an operational bomb. "Paradoxically," Gardiner writes, "these gaps in intelligence produce not caution, but further pressure to attack."
For political cynics who believe Bush, Cheney, and Karl Rove would stop at nothing to hold onto power, a first strike against Iran would be the ultimate preelection "October surprise."
Friday, September 29, 2006
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